This does not constitute investment advice. I am not a financial advisor. Consult with a financial advisor before investing in anything.

It occurred to me as I was trying to salvage something edible from yet another bruised and blackening piece of fruit, that investing in the stock market is a lot like buying avocados. Your rational mind knows that the best thing to do is to buy light green, unripe ones when they are hard and won’t be battered in the shopping bag on the way home then gently placing them in a bowl next to your bananas to slowly ripen until they are dark green and perfectly soft, all the while resisting the temptation to check on them by squeezing. 

All too often however we try to game the system thinking we are smart enough to pick one that is already ripe and get it home safely so that we can have it right away. The folks at the grocery store know this and tempt you by placing the ripest avocados on top of the heap with little stickers that say “Ready to eat now.” 

Perhaps, like me, you have thrown away not a few bruised and rotten avocados. 

Investing in the stock market is similar. We know that the best thing to do is to buy a (boring) passively managed fund that is tied to the S&P 500 or some other broad market index and let it ripen for say, 40 years, but it is tempting to buy an individual stock that looks like a sure winner or get into an actively managed fund that promises to beat the index. I’ve bought a lot of rotten fruit this way as well. (Oddly enough, the only individual stock I ever bought that did better than the index was, in fact, named for a kind of fruit. It still took quite a number of years to ripen.)

Most of the time now, I am wise enough to buy unripe fruit and nurture it to maturity. But every once in a while, I think I have found the perfect specimen that is ready now and defying reason hand over my custom only to be disappointed, again. 

Come to think of it, not just investing but most things are like this. As a friend noted to me this week, “Most of my mistakes happened because I was in a hurry.”  

Everything ripens in the fullness of time. 

Posted
AuthorDennis Kirschbaum

Last week I speculated about the meaning of life and whether life had its own meaning apart from those individuals or even species that inhabit it. At the same time I was writing that piece I was also writing a poem about the same thing. We call both prose and poetry writing, but they are very different. The process of writing them is different and we feel different reading it. 

Prose is like another person beaming their thoughts and their way of thinking directly into your brain. Poetry, we hope, connects at an even deeper level, a level of intellect yes, but also feeling and emotion. Not every poem connects with every person but when it does, something magical happens.

Here is a poem on last week’s prose topic of being a transmission vessel for DNA.

ביצה (Egg)

 A hen is only an egg’s way of making another egg.

– Samuel Butler

 

I am a transmitter sending a signal

from the primordial past. My purpose long fulfilled.

A carrier of encrypted code that emerged from the pools of Eden

consorted with angels and giants

and wandered out of Africa establishing a tribe

of genetic material in the fertile crescent.

Slavery, kingdom, empire, each another shipping vessel

and expulsion after expulsion carrying DNA 

to Asia, across Europe, 

 over sea to Australia and through the Americas.

After 3,000 years, the tribe is still dwelling

on how badly Egypt ended

freedom joy diminished drop by drop.

The egg doesn’t care about that.

 Its sole concern is the next chick

and making a path to the future.

The egg doesn’t glance back

at the old bird lying in dust.

Posted
AuthorDennis Kirschbaum